Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sat Nov 14, 11:38 PM Eastern
Donalds vote share, governor race: odds today
Florida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percent
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| At least 50% | 71% |
| At least 52% | 2% |
About $88,325 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 71¢ means the market puts it at about 71%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Tampa Bay news behind it
- Florida midterm turnout is 60.9%, second-highest in 30 years1 outlet · Nov 9
- Florida Cabinet to consider $20.5 million Clearwater Beach purchase3 outlets · Nov 12
- Charlie Crist wins St. Petersburg mayor's race over Ken Welch1 outlet · Nov 10
- Four Pasco charter schools file state complaint over tax revenue1 outlet · Nov 9
More Tampa Bay odds
- Tampa rainfall in NovemberAbove 2 inches 81% · Above 3 inches 27%
- Buccaneers regular-season wins8 or more wins 48% · 9 or more wins 24%
- Peak Florida gas price this yearAbove $4.70 a gallon 8% · Above $5.10 a gallon 4%
- Florida Senate margin of victoryMoody wins by 16+ 13% · Moody wins by 7.5+ 3%
- Visitors to Florida in 2026Above 142 million 38% · Above 140 million 79%
- DeSantis announces presidential runBy Feb 1, 2027 53% · By Jan 1, 2027 8%
- Starship launch from FloridaBefore 2027 12%
- Florida Governor margin of victoryDonalds, 1+ pts 96%