Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Washington, D.C.

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:14 PM Eastern

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential run: odds today

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential run? (2028 President of the United States race)

OutcomeChance
Before Oct 1, 202766%
Before Jul 1, 202750%
Before Jun 1, 202744%
Before May 1, 202729%
Before Apr 1, 202718%
Before Mar 1, 202714%

About $16,529 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 66¢ means the market puts it at about 66%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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