Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:14 PM Eastern
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028: odds today
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? (Before Apr 1, 2028)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2028 | 62% |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 40% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 31% |
About $44,794 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 62¢ means the market puts it at about 62%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More Washington, D.C. odds
- DC Republican presidential primary winnerJ.D. Vance 33% · Marco Rubio 24%
- December 2026 snowfall in WashingtonOver 2 inches 28% · Over 4 inches 16%
- Trump invokes the DC Home Rule ActBefore Jan 1, 2027 11%
- Marriott total rooms in Q1 2027Above 1.88 million 40% · Above 1.87 million 78%
- Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in 2026Above 140 jets 45% · Above 130 jets 72%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential runBefore Oct 1, 2027 66% · Before Jul 1, 2027 50%
- NY-14 House election: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vote percentAt least 66% 94% · At least 68% 84%
All Washington, D.C. prediction markets · Washington, D.C. news today