Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Fri Nov 13, 11:12 PM Central
Tesla and SpaceX merger: odds today
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 30% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 50% |
Before Jan 1, 2027: -4 points over 24 hours. About $719,178 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 30¢ means the market puts it at about 30%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More Austin odds
- Austin home values in NovemberAbove $523,000 45% · Above $525,000 36%
- Austin rainfall in NovemberAbove 4 inches 40% · Above 3 inches 76%
- Texas Senate margin of victoryTalarico by 12.2+ pts 20% · Talarico by 13+ pts 2%
- Texas data center moratoriumBy June 30, 2027 18% · By Dec 31, 2027 20%
- Texas enacts a state income taxBefore 2030 22% · Before 2029 12%
- Tesla total deliveries in 2026Above 1.8 million 46% · Above 1.75 million 80%
- Tesla Cybercab sold for $30K or lessYes, in 2026 28%
- Texas vs LSULSU wins 62% · Texas wins 36%