Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:21 PM Central
Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026: odds today
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| 450k to 475k | 24% |
| 475k to 500k | 19% |
450k to 475k: +10 points over 24 hours. About $20,634 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 24¢ means the market puts it at about 24%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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