Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Austin

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:21 PM Central

Texas's 23rd District margin of victory: odds today

Texas's 23rd District margin of victory (Texas's 23rd District)

OutcomeChance
Stout, 1+ pts86%
Stout, 13+ pts52%
Stout, 7+ pts6%

About $17,188 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 86¢ means the market puts it at about 86%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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