Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 12:13 PM Central
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October: odds today
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October (October 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Above -0.30 | 92% |
| Above -0.20 | 82% |
| Above -0.10 | 64% |
| Above 0.00 | 44% |
| Above 0.10 | 26% |
| Above 0.20 | 15% |
About $1,640 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 92¢ means the market puts it at about 92%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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