Chicago prediction markets
Odds as of Sun Nov 8, 5:18 AM Central, busiest markets first. Prices reflect what traders are betting, not our view.
- Chicago mayor 2027 winnerAlexi Giannoulias 71% · Brandon Johnson 11% · Kalshi
- Chicago metro median home value, Dec 31$318K to $323K 37% · $313K to $318K 32% · Polymarket
- Where the Bears play long termNew site in Illinois 82% · Moves to Indiana 18% · Kalshi
- Chicago snowfall in DecemberAbove 4 inches 49% · Above 6 inches 38% · Kalshi
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index, OctAbove 0.00 44% · Above -0.10 64% · Kalshi
- Pritzker vote share in Cook CountyAt least 78% 45% · At least 80% 18% · Kalshi
- Illinois home prices up year over year, Q4Index above 327.38 90% · Kalshi
- Illinois nuclear power output in 2026Above 97.5 TWh 78% · Above 100 TWh 6% · Kalshi
- United Airlines passengers in 2026Above 188 million 68% · Above 190 million 8% · Kalshi
- McDonald's comparable sales growth, 2026Above 3% 29% · Above 4% 79% · Kalshi
- Chicago mayoral election winner (2027)Alexi Giannoulias 73% · Brandon Johnson 9% · Kalshi
- Illinois's 4th District margin of victoryGarcia, 36+ pts 96% · Garcia, 27+ pts 95% · Kalshi
- Illinois Governor margin of victoryPritzker, 6+ pts 96% · Pritzker, 15+ pts 96% · Kalshi
- Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percentAt least 34% 91% · At least 36% 75% · Kalshi
- Illinois Governor election: JB Pritzker vote percentAt least 58% 93% · At least 54% 87% · Kalshi
- IL-17 House winner (2028)Democratic party 82% · Republican party 14% · Kalshi
- Illinois's 8th District margin of victoryBean, 3+ pts 95% · Bean, 12+ pts 95% · Kalshi
- IL-14 House winner (2028)Democratic party 87% · Republican party 11% · Kalshi
- IL-06 House winner (2028)Democratic party 89% · Republican party 4% · Kalshi
- IL-13 House winner (2028)Democratic party 93% · Republican party 7% · Kalshi
- IL-16 House winner (2028)Republican party 86% · Democratic party 5% · Kalshi
- IL-15 House winner (2028)Republican party 90% · Democratic party 9% · Kalshi
- Illinois's 1st District margin of victoryJackson, 29+ pts 91% · Jackson, 26+ pts 88% · Kalshi
- IL-12 House winner (2028)Republican party 92% · Democratic party 7% · Kalshi
- Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will performBillie Eilish 53% · Ella Langley 49% · Kalshi
- United Airlines shift its headquarters to Denver CO before 2027United Airlines 5% · Kalshi
- IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percentAt least 24% 14% · At least 22% 5% · Kalshi
- IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percentAt least 56% 85% · At least 58% 76% · Kalshi
- Illinois's 2nd District margin of victoryMiller, 28+ pts 94% · Miller, 31+ pts 87% · Kalshi
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in NovemberAbove -0.54 96% · Above -0.48 77% · Kalshi