Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Chicago

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 5:18 AM Central

Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Oct: odds today

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October

OutcomeChance
Above 0.0044%
Above -0.1064%

About $1,640 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 44¢ means the market puts it at about 44%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Chicago news behind it

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