Sunday, November 8, 2026

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 5:18 AM Central

IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent: odds today

IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent (Vote Percent - Lupe Castillo)

OutcomeChance
At least 24%14%
At least 22%5%
At least 26%4%
At least 28%4%

About $6,022 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 14¢ means the market puts it at about 14%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Chicago news behind it

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