Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Chicago

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 5:18 AM Central

Illinois's 1st District margin of victory: odds today

Illinois's 1st District margin of victory (Illinois's 1st District)

OutcomeChance
Jackson, 29+ pts91%
Jackson, 26+ pts88%
Jackson, 32+ pts71%
Jackson, 35+ pts62%
Jackson, 44+ pts36%

About $8,980 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 91¢ means the market puts it at about 91%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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