Wednesday, November 11, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 9:24 PM Central

Texas hard freeze at DFW and IAH: odds today

Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?

OutcomeChance
Before 202840%
Before 202966%

Before 2028: +1 points over 24 hours. About $565 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 40¢ means the market puts it at about 40%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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