Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 8:07 PM Pacific
Newsom 2028 presidential run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Announces by Mar 1 | 58% |
| Announces by Feb 1 | 30% |
Announces by Mar 1: +2 points over 24 hours. About $20,874 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 58¢ means the market puts it at about 58%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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