Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 7:48 PM Pacific
Newsom announces presidential run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| By Mar 1, 2027 | 54% |
| By Feb 1, 2027 | 24% |
By Mar 1, 2027: no change over 24 hours. About $17,397 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 54¢ means the market puts it at about 54%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Inland Empire news behind it
- Newsom commutes all 548 California death sentences3 outlets · Nov 7
- Jessica Qattawi Announces 2028 Run for Riverside Mayor1 outlet · Nov 5
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