Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 7:48 PM Pacific
Which ballot measures will pass in California: odds today
Which ballot measures will pass in California? (In 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Proposition 42 | 96% |
| Proposition 4 | 26% |
About $49,553 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 96¢ means the market puts it at about 96%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More Inland Empire odds
- Big Bear Mountain Resort opening dayOpens by Nov 22 67% · Opens by Nov 15 11%
- Coachella 2027 headlinersDrake headlines 7% · Dua Lipa headlines 86%
- Prop 40 wealth tax: margin of defeatFails by 4+ points 83% · Fails by 7+ points 6%
- California peak gas price this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 8% · Above $7.00 a gallon 6%
- California home prices, Q4 2026Index above 419.85 34%
- California housing permits in 2026Above 110,000 units 56% · Above 115,000 units 18%
- California governor margin of victoryDemocrat wins by 30+ 85% · Democrat wins by 31+ 31%
- California starts laying high-speed railTrack laid by 2027 55%
All Inland Empire prediction markets · Inland Empire news today