Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 2:54 PM Pacific
California Prop 40 wealth tax margin: odds today
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Fails by 4+ points | 78% |
| Fails by 7+ points | 14% |
Fails by 4+ points: +7 points over 24 hours. About $119,145 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 78¢ means the market puts it at about 78%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Los Angeles news behind it
- Californians reject Prop 39 voter ID requirement, NBC News projects1 outlet · Nov 6
- Council members pledge to move LA forward after Raman's win1 outlet · Nov 6
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