Los Angeles prediction markets
Odds as of Sun Nov 8, 2:49 PM Pacific, busiest markets first. Prices reflect what traders are betting, not our view.
- Los Angeles mayoral election marginRaman wins by 8-10% 57% · Raman wins by 10-12% 38% · Kalshi
- Los Angeles mayoral election turnoutAbove 1.15M voters 90% · Above 1.3M voters 16% · Kalshi
- Los Angeles rainfall in NovemberAbove 1 inch 78% · Above 2 inches 42% · Kalshi
- Lakers vs PistonsLakers win 30% · Pistons win 70% · Kalshi
- Peak California gas price this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 20% · Above $6.80 a gallon 10% · Kalshi
- California housing permits in 2026Above 110,000 units 56% · Above 115,000 units 18% · Kalshi
- California Prop 40 wealth tax voteNo wins by 4+ points 67% · No wins by 7+ points 25% · Kalshi
- California starts laying high-speed rail trackBefore Jan 1, 2027 55% · Kalshi
- Disney domestic parks attendance growthGrowth above 1% 68% · Growth above 2% 40% · Kalshi
- Magnitude 8.0 earthquake in CaliforniaBefore 2035 20% · Kalshi
- CA-04 HouseEric Jones 94% · Mike Thompson 6% · Kalshi
- California Governor margin of victoryDemocrats, 29+ pts 94% · Democrats, 30+ pts 77% · Kalshi
- Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory (Nithya Raman)Nithya Raman, ≥8% 96% · Nithya Raman, ≥10% 39% · Kalshi
- California Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 11.5M 96% · Above 12.6M 93% · Kalshi
- UK snap election announcedBefore Jan 2, 2028 28% · Kalshi
- California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton winSan Joaquin 6% · Fresno 4% · Kalshi
- Which ballot measures will pass in CaliforniaProposition 42 90% · Proposition 4 68% · Kalshi
- California Governor election: Steve Hilton vote percentAt least 34% 60% · At least 36% 6% · Kalshi
- California Governor election: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 62% 96% · At least 64% 95% · Kalshi
- Who will announce a California departure in 2026Larry Page 19% · Chamath Palihapitiya 6% · Kalshi
- California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026Above 419.85 34% · Kalshi
- CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent: Vote Percent - Bob SmithAt least 24% 95% · At least 32% 84% · Kalshi
- Gavin Newsom announce a presidential runBefore Oct 1, 2027 78% · Before Jul 1, 2027 74% · Kalshi
- A human land on Mars before California starts high-speed railBefore 2050 30% · Kalshi
- California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percentAt least 46% 93% · At least 48% 23% · Kalshi
- CA-49 House winner (2028)Democratic party 90% · Republican party 4% · Kalshi
- When will Canada announce a snap election: Canada snap electionBefore Jul 1, 2028 38% · Before Jan 1, 2028 26% · Kalshi
- TX-23 House election: Katy Padilla Stout vote percentAt least 40% 95% · At least 52% 81% · Kalshi
- When will Wales call a snap electionBefore Jan 1, 2028 14% · Kalshi
- Number of data centers in California this yearAt least 305 70% · At least 315 45% · Kalshi
- When will France announce a snap electionBefore Jan 2, 2027 4% · Kalshi
- California's 21st District margin of victoryCosta, 14+ pts 90% · Costa, 8+ pts 75% · Kalshi
- Snap average daily active users in fiscal 2026Above 488 million 82% · Above 492 million 72% · Kalshi
- CA-22 House election: David Valadao vote percentAt least 42% 65% · At least 50% 15% · Kalshi
- CA-13 House election: Adam Gray vote percent: Vote Percent - Adam GrayAt least 50% 90% · At least 52% 81% · Kalshi
- Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 68% 96% · At least 70% 50% · Kalshi
- Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 52% 90% · At least 54% 54% · Kalshi