Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 2:49 PM Pacific
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory (Nithya Raman): odds today
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) (On Nov 3, 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Nithya Raman, ≥8% | 96% |
| Nithya Raman, ≥10% | 39% |
| Nithya Raman, ≥12% | 5% |
About $121,791 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 96¢ means the market puts it at about 96%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Los Angeles news behind it
- Council members pledge to move LA forward after Raman's win1 outlet · Nov 6
- Mayor-elect Raman won without any council endorsements1 outlet · Nov 6
- Mayoral candidate Nithya Raman ousts campaign staffer over 'reprehensible' remarks1 outlet · Nov 2
- Nithya Raman ousts incumbent Los Angeles mayor, Times reports1 outlet · Nov 8
More Los Angeles odds
- Los Angeles mayoral election marginRaman wins by 8-10% 57% · Raman wins by 10-12% 38%
- Los Angeles mayoral election turnoutAbove 1.15M voters 90% · Above 1.3M voters 16%
- Los Angeles rainfall in NovemberAbove 1 inch 78% · Above 2 inches 42%
- Lakers vs PistonsLakers win 30% · Pistons win 70%
- Peak California gas price this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 20% · Above $6.80 a gallon 10%
- California housing permits in 2026Above 110,000 units 56% · Above 115,000 units 18%
- California Prop 40 wealth tax voteNo wins by 4+ points 67% · No wins by 7+ points 25%
- California starts laying high-speed rail trackBefore Jan 1, 2027 55%