Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 2:54 PM Pacific
Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout: odds today
Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout (the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Above 1.05M | 92% |
| Above 1.15M | 90% |
| Above 1.4M | 20% |
| Above 1.3M | 16% |
| Above 1.2M | 11% |
| Above 1.25M | 8% |
About $4,569 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 92¢ means the market puts it at about 92%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Los Angeles news behind it
- Council members pledge to move LA forward after Raman's win1 outlet · Nov 6
- Mayor-elect Raman won without any council endorsements1 outlet · Nov 6
- Mayoral candidate Nithya Raman ousts campaign staffer over 'reprehensible' remarks1 outlet · Nov 2
More Los Angeles odds
- Los Angeles mayoral race margin for RamanRaman wins by 8+ 98% · Raman wins by 10+ 8%
- Becerra vote share in LA CountyAt least 70% 50% · At least 72% 33%
- November rainfall in Los AngelesAbove 2 inches 36% · Above 1 inch 80%
- Lakers vs HawksLakers win 44% · Hawks win 56%
- California Prop 40 wealth tax marginFails by 4+ points 78% · Fails by 7+ points 14%
- California gas price peak this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 6% · Above $6.80 a gallon 10%
- California home prices rise year over yearIndex above 419.85 34%
- California housing permits in 2026Above 110,000 units 56% · Above 115,000 units 18%