Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 3:00 PM Pacific
Magnitude 8.0 California earthquake: odds today
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before 2035 | 20% |
Before 2035: -1 points over 24 hours. About $32,034 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 20¢ means the market puts it at about 20%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Los Angeles news behind it
- California reports 368 rabid animals in 2026, highest in 28 years1 outlet · Nov 7
- Preliminary magnitude 2.4 earthquake reported in Chatsworth1 outlet · Nov 6
More Los Angeles odds
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