Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 2:42 AM Pacific
CA-04 House: odds today
CA-04 House winner? (In 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Eric Jones | 88% |
| Mike Thompson | 7% |
About $279,954 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 88¢ means the market puts it at about 88%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- Connie Chan concedes to Scott Wiener in 11th District House race7 outlets · Nov 5
- Wiener appears to win House District 11 race after Chan concedes1 outlet · Nov 3
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