Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 3:32 AM Pacific
CA billionaire tax margin: odds today
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Fails by 4+ points | 74% |
| Fails by 7+ points | 26% |
Fails by 4+ points: +7 points over 24 hours. About $112,369 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 74¢ means the market puts it at about 74%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- KQED compares San Francisco and California votes on Proposition 401 outlet · Nov 4
- California billionaire tax Prop. 40 trails in early results2 outlets · Nov 4
- California billionaire tax proposal outcome too early to call1 outlet · Nov 3
- Jane Kim declares victory in California insurance commissioner race4 outlets · Nov 7
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