Sunday, November 8, 2026

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 2:58 AM Pacific

CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent: Vote Percent - Bob Smith: odds today

CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent (Vote Percent - Bob Smith)

OutcomeChance
At least 24%95%
At least 32%84%
At least 34%40%
At least 36%18%
At least 38%6%
At least 40%4%

About $17,506 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 95¢ means the market puts it at about 95%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The San Francisco news behind it

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