Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Fri Nov 13, 8:51 PM Pacific
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory: odds today
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) (On Nov 3, 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| No, ≥4% | 89% |
About $166,652 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 89¢ means the market puts it at about 89%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- NBC News projects California voters reject Prop 40 billionaire tax1 outlet · Nov 9
- Jane Kim declares victory in California insurance commissioner race5 outlets · Nov 8
- Jane Kim wins California insurance commissioner race, AP projects4 outlets · Nov 8
- Jane Kim wins California insurance commissioner race, AP projects3 outlets · Nov 8
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