Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Sun Nov 8, 11:50 AM Pacific
Newsom announces presidential run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| By Mar 31, 2027 | 52% |
By Mar 31, 2027: +3 points over 24 hours. About $102,524 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 52¢ means the market puts it at about 52%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- Newsom says he will commute all California death sentences2 outlets · Nov 7
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor race over Steve Hilton1 outlet · Nov 4
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor's race over Steve Hilton2 outlets · Nov 4
More San Francisco odds
- SF ballot measuresProp I passes 24%
- SF rainfall in NovemberOver 3 inches 37% · Over 2 inches 68%
- 49ers vs Raiders49ers win 80%
- CA billionaire tax marginFails by 7+ points 25% · Fails by 4+ points 77%
- CA home prices rise in Q4Up year on year 34%
- CA gas price peak this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 18%
- Anthropic IPO timingBy Nov 20 46% · By Nov 25 70%
- Waymo reaches 1M rides a weekBefore 2027 38%
All San Francisco prediction markets · San Francisco news today