Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:39 AM Pacific
California's 21st District margin of victory: odds today
California's 21st District margin of victory (California's 21st District)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Costa, 14+ pts | 90% |
| Costa, 8+ pts | 75% |
| Costa, 11+ pts | 70% |
| Costa, 17+ pts | 44% |
| Costa, 20+ pts | 31% |
| Costa, 23+ pts | 23% |
About $6,221 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 90¢ means the market puts it at about 90%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- Theo Ellington declares victory in District 10 supervisor race2 outlets · Nov 5
- Gary McCoy declares victory in District 8 supervisor race2 outlets · Nov 3
- Gary McCoy declares victory in District 8 supervisor race1 outlet · Nov 3
- Wiener appears to win House District 11 race after Chan concedes1 outlet · Nov 3
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