Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 2:58 AM Pacific
Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain: odds today
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 55% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 40% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 26% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 18% |
About $6,460 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 55¢ means the market puts it at about 55%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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