Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 3:32 AM Pacific
Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run? (2028 President of the United States race)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 82% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 79% |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 72% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 66% |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 57% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 24% |
About $17,227 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 82¢ means the market puts it at about 82%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor race over Steve Hilton1 outlet · Nov 4
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor's race over Steve Hilton2 outlets · Nov 4
- Newsom says he will commute all California death sentences2 outlets · Nov 7
- T&T Supermarket opens its first San Francisco store1 outlet · Nov 6
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