Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 2:58 AM Pacific
How many House seats will Democrats win in California: odds today
How many House seats will Democrats win in California? (On Nov 3, 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| 48 | 95% |
| 50 and above | 10% |
| 49 | 5% |
About $76,184 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 95¢ means the market puts it at about 95%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- California voters decide governor, two House seats and 14 measures1 outlet · Nov 3
- Phil Kim wins reelection to San Francisco school board2 outlets · Nov 6
- Tim Tung and Autumn Brown Garibay win final two school board seats2 outlets · Nov 6
- Kim, Tung and Brown Garibay win San Francisco school board seats2 outlets · Nov 5
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