Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sat Nov 14, 10:42 PM Pacific
Newsom announces 2028 presidential run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| By Feb 1, 2027 | 47% |
| By Mar 1, 2027 | 67% |
By Feb 1, 2027: +6 points over 24 hours. About $23,378 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 47¢ means the market puts it at about 47%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- Newsom commutes California death sentences; victims' families divided1 outlet · Nov 9
- Newsom says he will commute all California death sentences3 outlets · Nov 8
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor race over Steve Hilton1 outlet · Nov 4
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor's race over Steve Hilton2 outlets · Nov 4
More San Francisco odds
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