Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 3:32 AM Pacific
OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first: odds today
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? (Before 2040)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Anthropic | 93% |
| OpenAI | 6% |
About $442,567 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 93¢ means the market puts it at about 93%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
More San Francisco odds
- SF ballot measuresProp I passes 24%
- SF metro median home value, Dec 31Under $1.062M 71% · $1.062M to $1.083M 21%
- 49ers vs Raiders49ers win 80%
- SF rainfall in NovemberAbove 3 inches 37% · Above 2 inches 60%
- CA billionaire tax marginFails by 4+ points 74% · Fails by 7+ points 26%
- Anthropic IPO dateBy Nov 20 49% · By Nov 25 73%
- CA gas price peak this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 20% · Above $6.80 a gallon 10%
- Waymo announces 1M rides a weekBefore 2027 42%
All San Francisco prediction markets · San Francisco news today