Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

San Francisco

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 3:32 AM Pacific

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027: odds today

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 (total deliveries in Q1 2027 )

OutcomeChance
Above 300,00095%
Above 350,00091%
Above 375,00082%
Above 400,00070%
Above 450,00040%
Above 475,00036%

About $30,018 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 95¢ means the market puts it at about 95%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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