Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

San Francisco

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 8:56 AM Pacific

Tesla energy deployment in Q4: odds today

Tesla energy deployment in Q4 (energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026)

OutcomeChance
Above 10 GWh90%
Above 12 GWh86%
Above 14 GWh84%
Above 16 GWh69%
Above 18 GWh46%
Above 20 GWh22%

About $6,397 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 90¢ means the market puts it at about 90%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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