Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 3:32 AM Pacific

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO: odds today

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Anthropic)

OutcomeChance
Before Apr 1, 202794%
Before Mar 1, 202792%
Before Feb 1, 202792%
Before Jan 1, 202786%
Before Dec 1, 202682%
Before Nov 16, 20268%

About $1,442,605 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 94¢ means the market puts it at about 94%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The San Francisco news behind it

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