Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

San Francisco

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 3:32 AM Pacific

When will Anthropic release Claude 6: odds today

When will Anthropic release Claude 6? (Claude 6+ (any family))

OutcomeChance
Before Dec 31, 202790%
Before Sep 30, 202782%
Before Jun 30, 202768%
Before Mar 31, 202740%
Before Dec 31, 202619%

About $10,090 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 90¢ means the market puts it at about 90%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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