Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

San Francisco

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 3:32 AM Pacific

When will OpenAI achieve AGI: odds today

When will OpenAI achieve AGI? (AGI)

OutcomeChance
Before 203067%
Before 202857%
Before 20276%

About $898,354 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 67¢ means the market puts it at about 67%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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