Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

New York City

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 6:26 AM Eastern

2029 New York City mayoral election: odds today

New York City mayoral election winner?

OutcomeChance
Zohran Mamdani81%
Jessica Tisch6%

Zohran Mamdani: -4 points over 24 hours. About $21,928 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 81¢ means the market puts it at about 81%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

More New York City odds