Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

New York City

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 5:04 AM Eastern

2029 New York City mayoral winner: odds today

New York City mayoral election winner?

OutcomeChance
Mamdani82%
Tisch6%

Mamdani: +1 points over 24 hours. About $21,987 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 82¢ means the market puts it at about 82%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

More New York City odds