Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:01 AM Eastern
Court rules pied-à-terre tax unconstitutional: odds today
Will a court rule NYC's pied-à-terre tax unconstitutional?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before 2028 | 50% |
Before 2028: +2 points over 24 hours. About $105 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 50¢ means the market puts it at about 50%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The New York City news behind it
- Court rules for city in pied-à-terre tax rollout challenge1 outlet · Nov 4
- Mayor Mamdani says Trump agreed to 90-day SNAP rule delay6 outlets · Nov 13
- Appeals court rules US wrongly withheld NY highway funds1 outlet · Nov 13
- Judge voids plan to elect Nikki Lucas Brooklyn Democratic chair1 outlet · Nov 10
More New York City odds
- NYC median asking rent in DecemberAbove $4,000 54% · Above $4,100 14%
- NYC subway weekday ridership, NovemberAbove 4.1 million 32% · Above 4.2 million 5%
- Mamdani raises corporate taxesBefore 2029 44% · Before 2028 26%
- Manhattan congestion-zone entries in 2026Above 175 million 17% · Above 180 million 12%
- 2029 New York City mayoral election winnerZohran Mamdani 78% · Jessica Tisch 6%
- Snow in New York City in DecemberAbove 2 inches 57% · Above 6 inches 31%
- New Jersey gas price at year-endAbove $3.70 a gallon 45% · Above $3.90 a gallon 17%
- Hoboken home values in NovemberAbove $1.2 million 46%
All New York City prediction markets · New York City news today