Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 2:11 PM Eastern
Democratic senator urges Schumer to step down: odds today
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 48% |
Before Jan 1, 2027: +3 points over 24 hours. About $35,674 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 48¢ means the market puts it at about 48%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The New York City news behind it
- Sources say Chuck Schumer is likely next Senate majority leader1 outlet · Nov 9
- Schumer and Jeffries face possible 2028 primary challenges1 outlet · Nov 9
- Democratic Socialists hold Manhattan event, call for new party leaders1 outlet · Nov 7
- ‘Rope’ and ‘The Verge’: The Joy of Sex and Death1 outlet · Nov 5
More New York City odds
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026Above $4,000 50% · Above $4,100 22%
- NYC subway ridership reaches pre-Covid averageHits 4.19 million 52%
- Mamdani raises corporate taxesBefore 2029 44% · Before 2028 26%
- City-owned grocery store opensBefore 2028 75%
- Manhattan congestion-zone entries in 2026Above 170 million 78% · Above 175 million 16%
- New York City mayoral election winner 2029Zohran Mamdani 82% · Jessica Tisch 5%
- New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026Above $3.80 a gallon 28% · Above $3.90 a gallon 20%
- NY-NJ port container volume in 2026Above 8.9M containers 50% · Above 8.8M containers 74%
All New York City prediction markets · New York City news today