Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 6:26 AM Eastern
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28: odds today
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28? (upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Above 4,000 | 94% |
| Above 6,000 | 88% |
| Above 8,000 | 84% |
| Above 10,000 | 82% |
| Above 12,000 | 42% |
| Above 14,000 | 29% |
About $1,203 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 94¢ means the market puts it at about 94%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The New York City news behind it
- NY Post reports NYC principal paid for school it says doesn't exist1 outlet · Nov 8
- Supreme Court case could affect NYC specialized school admissions1 outlet · Nov 6
- NYC proposes closing 2 tiny Harlem schools and moving popular Upper West Side middle school1 outlet · Nov 2
More New York City odds
- NYC median asking rent, December 2026Above $4,000 50% · Above $4,100 22%
- Subway ridership back to pre-Covid averageReaches 4.19 million 57%
- Congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026Above 170 million 74% · Above 175 million 19%
- Mamdani raises corporate taxesBefore 2029 44% · Before 2028 26%
- City-owned grocery store opensBefore 2028 74%
- Manhattan office vacancy, Q4 2026Below 18% 55%
- 2029 New York City mayoral electionZohran Mamdani 81% · Jessica Tisch 6%
- New Jersey gas price at year-endAbove $3.90 a gallon 68% · Above $4.20 a gallon 35%
All New York City prediction markets · New York City news today