Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

New York City

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 6:26 AM Eastern

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year: odds today

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (Before 2026)

OutcomeChance
At least 157%
At least 248%
At least 332%
At least 819%
At least 1310%

About $90,587 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 57¢ means the market puts it at about 57%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

More New York City odds