Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 5:34 AM Eastern

Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027: odds today

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

OutcomeChance
Yes4%

About $59,379 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 4¢ means the market puts it at about 4%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The New York City news behind it

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