Wednesday, November 11, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

New York City

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 11:22 PM Eastern

NY-17 House race: Conley vote share: odds today

NY-17 House election: Cait Conley vote percent

OutcomeChance
At least 52%80%
At least 54%23%

About $45,369 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 80¢ means the market puts it at about 80%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The New York City news behind it

More New York City odds