Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

New York City

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 6:26 AM Eastern

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027: odds today

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027? (for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027))

OutcomeChance
Above 275 days95%
Above 300 days90%
Above 325 days85%
Above 350 days80%
Above 375 days20%
Above 400 days16%

About $226 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 95¢ means the market puts it at about 95%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The New York City news behind it

More New York City odds