Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

New York City

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 6:26 AM Eastern

What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026: odds today

What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026? (for December 2026)

OutcomeChance
At least 8 mph90%
At least 8.1 mph78%
At least 8.2 mph68%
At least 8.3 mph42%
At least 8.4 mph28%
At least 8.5 mph14%

About $583 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 90¢ means the market puts it at about 90%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The New York City news behind it

More New York City odds