Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Fri Nov 13, 4:23 AM Eastern
Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader: odds today
Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader? (Before Jan 3, 2027)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Scott Colom | 96% |
| John Fetterman | 93% |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 90% |
| Ruben Gallego | 82% |
| Richard Blumenthal | 77% |
| Raphael Warnock | 54% |
About $7,979 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 96¢ means the market puts it at about 96%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The New York City news behind it
- Sources say Chuck Schumer is likely next Senate majority leader1 outlet · Nov 9
- Democratic Socialists hold Manhattan event, call for new party leaders1 outlet · Nov 7
- No one has formally challenged Jeffries or Schumer for leadership1 outlet · Nov 12
- Hochul cites Democratic control of Congress in AI push1 outlet · Nov 9
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