Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 6:26 AM Eastern
Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City: odds today
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City? (Before Jan 2030)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 30% |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 13% |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 5% |
About $18,748 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 30¢ means the market puts it at about 30%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The New York City news behind it
- Mayor Zohran Mamdani says who calls Trump first 'varies'1 outlet · Nov 7
- Mayor backs bill to stop Amazon outsourcing deliveries1 outlet · Nov 6
- Hochul, Mamdani join New York Democrats at Puerto Rico convention3 outlets · Nov 5
- New York lawmakers gather in Puerto Rico for Somos Conference1 outlet · Nov 5
More New York City odds
- NYC median asking rent, December 2026Above $4,000 50% · Above $4,100 22%
- Subway ridership back to pre-Covid averageReaches 4.19 million 57%
- Congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026Above 170 million 74% · Above 175 million 19%
- Mamdani raises corporate taxesBefore 2029 44% · Before 2028 26%
- City-owned grocery store opensBefore 2028 74%
- Manhattan office vacancy, Q4 2026Below 18% 55%
- 2029 New York City mayoral electionZohran Mamdani 81% · Jessica Tisch 6%
- New Jersey gas price at year-endAbove $3.90 a gallon 68% · Above $4.20 a gallon 35%
All New York City prediction markets · New York City news today