Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 1:05 AM Eastern
NC Senate race 2028: odds today
North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Democratic win | 70% |
| Republican win | 26% |
Democratic win: -2 points over 24 hours. About $86,192 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 70¢ means the market puts it at about 70%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Raleigh news behind it
- Cooper wins NC Senate seat; Democrats take state House1 outlet · Nov 5
- Proposed $50.8M adult care home in Wake seeks state approval1 outlet · Nov 11
- Man held without bond in connection with home break-ins2 outlets · Nov 10
- Sigma Nu members vacate NC State house amid hazing investigation3 outlets · Nov 10
More Raleigh odds
- RDU airport passengers in 2026Above 16.0M passengers 18% · Above 15.75M passengers 82%
- Cooper's vote share in Wake CountyCooper at least 66% 61% · Cooper at least 70% 43%
- Wake Forest vs SMUWake Forest wins 50% · SMU wins 50%
- NC data center moratoriumBy June 30, 2027 12% · By Dec 31, 2027 19%
- AP call for NC-03 House raceBefore Nov 13 56% · Before Nov 14 79%
- Lowe's Q3 customer transactionsAbove 182 million 60% · Above 183 million 40%
- NC pharmaceutical manufacturing jobsAbove 26,500 jobs 29%
- NC governor race 2028Democratic win 66% · Republican win 32%