Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:43 AM Eastern
Virginia 2028 presidential winner: odds today
2028 Presidential Election: Virginia Winner
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 85% |
| Republican Party | 14% |
Democratic Party: no change over 24 hours. About $7,322 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 85¢ means the market puts it at about 85%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Richmond news behind it
More Richmond odds
- NextEra takeover of Dominion EnergyTakeover completed 53%
- Altria domestic cigarette shipments, 2026Above 60 billion 40% · Above 59.5 billion 74%
- Port of Virginia container volume, 2026Above 3.25M TEUs 16% · Above 3.15M TEUs 86%
- Virginia Senate election turnoutAbove 4.2M voters 21% · Above 4.0M voters 10%
- West Virginia total coal production in 2026Above 76 million short tons 94% · Above 78 million short tons 94%
- Virginia's 5th District margin of victoryMcGuire, 9+ pts 10% · McGuire, 1.8+ pts 6%
- Virginia's 9th District margin of victoryGriffith, 48+ pts 5% · Griffith, 54+ pts 5%
- Virginia's 6th District margin of victoryCline, 12+ pts 43%